{"id": 8344, "prediction_verbatim": "GLD underperforms SPY over 48h (defensive shift already priced; real-rate headwinds dominate) [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: GLD outperforms SPY by >0.5% over 48h or closes materially higher than $4,029/oz]", "created_at": "2026-07-28 23:06:12", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-31 02:50:46", "chain_hash": "e8511f6616b51d3e48732c433d635850d314b5251d310d6ba9708fce4e5c4fc5", "chain_tx": "5P9uGmtxvNtsoiCrYV7rDti4iNJXAHDTPCYBswm1eEcn7YGfV8gdDnUTvHYb5kqkUHVhaYjDgMWwGHGYSBVLbUdJ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}