{"id": 7983, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM closes higher or matches SPY price change over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-22 03:30:38", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM -1.5% vs SPY -1.3% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.2%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-24 04:36:35", "chain_hash": "62c3a0d5092fd312ec0d3c3ce9402c83985ae1eef94b562f2b0fa3f13ff01ebb", "chain_tx": "2T66T95Cvo3mMLu5iCJBf67PR4i6cMKwz4hcVCUN4dV22WsguBxfHhjAqy7XZ4iq9NvV1CjouMTUHD9oGQBwB1xi", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}