{"id": 7972, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-22 00:30:20", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.21, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.5% vs SPY -1.3% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-24 01:36:24", "chain_hash": "933864c5543df9c2ef9f2ea5bc5297dade3641285f4a452075ce9c99491fa84a", "chain_tx": "36CEujQxdHXNngYQ5M1Hna13duMF5jGHvFLoaZjk5Ubnmk7uaSe4LL2XhhMUEXTtv3FRUduXC7JYD6RSiQNSSToP", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}