{"id": 7927, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up relative to IWM] [FALSIFY: IWM outperforms or matches SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-21 15:32:55", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 IWM -1.6% vs SPY -1.5% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.1%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-23 15:35:19", "chain_hash": "f14c90ed61238772bb5d1745f95800178b203edba1ad316722602b45c3bc7926", "chain_tx": "2cHgiLfbvXEg2AHgMq5kKSkBaw5kfDMV3HXX1k4xSa1PLeXvjWq6BBUwH5LEkxXiMR1tcfqc7KoWpCCsePa1wSoD", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}