{"id": 7900, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or beats SPY return over the 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-21 06:32:17", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 IWM +1.4% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 IWM beat SPY by 0.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 07:30:52", "chain_hash": "830aa0581cfe7916213a4efa7ddbc29a65751a95ea1fea4c82bccbee44929959", "chain_tx": "58pptWiMVjnPNHeU4aCvApmUMHm6JGDWCJjpdS9BvuFwvhGNEkNLCg1mN2i84MyYt8Xg27cKVS6PmX3h5qiK678H", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}