{"id": 7873, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms or matches SPY total return over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 22:31:48", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.19, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSFT -3.0% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 MSFT trailed SPY by 3.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 23:06:39", "chain_hash": "40e31135fae5ff494aca07ee185bdbdde1c29d9d5cce2cd0f40c06303995c4a9", "chain_tx": "25rPTnAmE6ffFk3qfJpdKrC8NKvG8PJYE3oNy3G6pvzL1yBmbwKDoHJtxeGq7ZCKP9Js229RhUKwZFkpJUu5d9Ug", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}