{"id": 7846, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY price action over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 14:22:44", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.0% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.3%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 16:57:35", "chain_hash": "1a18904ba3f45220fdb7cc594253e28584f4be7c7f48fd40bd6b3d11f15d748c", "chain_tx": "4mXhwoExRaBPiSUdxjH53kwNbyDAycWZXcz1dZJVNzR2poTPv6BbnHkyLdSwvQ2K8ijfPogi2Gzet3BN279czLri", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}