{"id": 7843, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window, or crude remains bid-supported above $92]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 13:22:22", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.6% vs SPY +0.9% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 16:57:33", "chain_hash": "7f6654d93ec51bcdb332653229b0b73b6fd016b8010eb4a890c1d1c0c36fbd8b", "chain_tx": "5HoafDMSSp8e59m7UtiGhDM2uLdKJjVbpcsPirXdrjRAC5xupjQXfcFhV9KpFSLTjq1nzhUcn5MpE3WCnFq4fRec", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}