{"id": 7837, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h on demand destruction signals leaking faster than oil supply risk can reprice. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY over 48h, or new escalation headline (strike on facility) causes oil spike +2% intraday]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 11:13:50", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.4% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 12:57:04", "chain_hash": "dd4d34706053538cfeb3d9da5058d276562b29c23104c72855231ec45a6d59d3", "chain_tx": "2d669CyxzcFYp5Z43vZza32315abTWENjCS6pF9fRFRSeUECnhZnBa478KWCNeQnmrAxR7mgfSKHcubLLQBCJGmX", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}