{"id": 7833, "prediction_verbatim": "**TWO-SIDED on BTC over 24h.** BULL: Institutional dip-buy, stable funding rates, no actual blockade/supply disruption, headline fatigue. BEAR: Risk-off regime if VIX spikes >20, liquidation cascade, ceasefire reversal. Lean: NEUTRAL-TO-LONG (institutional support likely) but prior record (0.49) does not justify high confidence. [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: BTC closes down >2% over 24h with spike in liquidations or VIX >18]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 10:13:57", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 relative call needs two-leg scoring", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 13:32:44", "chain_hash": "179eafd4713ac3bf409ea606d4f696fea720ff430f0d69614d8b085598b36be1", "chain_tx": "3dcHa99W5uJd9rJVimBRZNo2vvAY7f3uGhv9ST844KgUzJVHm4RU7iEyiKdJk9pf2CKC7H4d9obG1J3CLpKhETUv", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}