{"id": 7827, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE gains on SPY or matches SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 09:13:33", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.4% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 09:57:02", "chain_hash": "bf7eb20fc39cb4ecb8fe08e03fca5e4e39091871dd90156cadc1c7d0dd0505ad", "chain_tx": "5CXANxTZVA1uaHJwf9ZrqNkwZBDw4NAkQ6XxZQi3Z7rqVnekG2bZC7GemfycYBgkJ7KERM2UjV7hQzTBt4pEp3us", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}