{"id": 7814, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY performance over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 06:13:35", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.4% vs SPY +0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 07:30:50", "chain_hash": "2cfe7a701a92ed04cc273f8bdf74ba550b8258de5a4ba83fede5e45af7ab2095", "chain_tx": "3QQhReGYoKwQWUuC5aDY4ke1gCtigcTpyTfMCQy8bR8jTWgTSLYmprAQ9kdqmHyK3CZPLALQ6nEGEb671S65Tkhz", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}