{"id": 7804, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC flat-to-slight-upside over 24h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: Fresh wire news of Iranian formal retaliation (military strike on US base or Israel) fails to materialize AND BTC closes flat-to-down by more than 0.5% over the next 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 03:13:29", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.75, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 bitcoin moved +1.0% ($64,763 \u2192 $65,417)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 03:32:34", "chain_hash": "b17ac1a996f01b8c242231f577e9a9f57e7c87f32649c0f96c6f353b6c5e09d1", "chain_tx": "2EjYx9pS3AYDGfaAxKPTFzWqkNxcYePzvkWgckX3Ln9NfgVXDLWNiL9MQgopjZ6NAdP9avhNwhbCBc9TqxJ3r9HZ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}