{"id": 7798, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or beats SPY intraday performance]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 02:13:20", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +0.5% vs SPY -0.2% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 02:32:39", "chain_hash": "9a1994b2fc9171f2875454aeb6a40b6f51db3d503661c8ac2b7d090fd2a43db1", "chain_tx": "39KYzMMoCnxKft3X3PbL7E7nccqSYpR6TMiumqFbnVS2oqXG7MNqnyEHkFBiVRKP3cF9aikyBCWBy3bLC1z4HkhY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}