{"id": 7784, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC trades flat-to-down over 24h; macro regime (Fed hawkishness + high real rates) overrides geopolitical supply-shock sentiment. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC closes notably higher (>1.0%) over the 24h window, signaling geopolitical flight-to-safety is pricing faster than Fed policy headwind]", "created_at": "2026-07-19 16:12:54", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 bitcoin moved +1.4% ($64,488 \u2192 $65,410)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 16:22:49", "chain_hash": "cb9f20899f32ef04630ac9f2f27b49f2da84403a1c25d41d78837fa74433babb", "chain_tx": "3z9CQWjQLkqoWHPgv6BYiGRUXsotQ6XfeZ86TkiimgaEos2zLQjKFLpypSE3YLRsSxqwPuChN9bpFNnzCDCd9RX3", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}