{"id": 7732, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC closes flat-to-down over 48h, underperforming broad risk-on regime; regulation + tariff uncertainty outweighs macro support in the immediate window. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC closes up 2%+ over 48h, or closes flat while HY spreads tighten further (sub-270 bps)]", "created_at": "2026-07-18 16:31:10", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 could not identify two assets", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 19:31:40", "chain_hash": "0268b8ac58cb2b1b1a0b230245118995723d9a8f155b96f505c26e0b8460995f", "chain_tx": "3ircUoRMuVcecdKQEhZUaZfRha4af8Dhy8gTfuTkABHp6nAQtHXpwnTTv5CtYHvGNf9s3x2xsRbqUT5i2z1kocZx", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}