{"id": 7682, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM and SPY trade flat-to-slightly-up relative to each other over 48h, with IWM slight edge on freight tailwind BUT capped by housing/industrial weakness [DIRECTION: flat with slight up tilt] [FALSIFY: IWM significantly underperforms SPY (>1%) on renewed demand destruction narrative]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 14:27:21", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 17:33:19", "chain_hash": "0f632eea907e887cdc4501a82b1fae9fee5faa66fd68bf000f9fb374d84c2299", "chain_tx": "3N64xaGBs1bAQ9CDzVyRfpbhZXP2etKkyQkECRfSBPQeZHQCYi6TZYVt7CvNfj6g1mymbcneGBhyw928FpcnsFXA", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}