{"id": 7626, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms SPY by >1.5% absolute over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-17 01:26:28", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.6% vs SPY -1.1% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-21 01:32:21", "chain_hash": "3dc42c480773b4298a0bf0fcab268880d5a8f142e9bf393315c3e40573a75245", "chain_tx": "4AgYnp9Ladt7SDpQYG4x9PoZsXjsW5RhEdrAk9NVLS8akCpuA8kRk4TiocwMMf47f88iCgpLnK5q1upPQA6CwaBX", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}