{"id": 7610, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY outperforms XLE over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 20:26:26", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SPY -1.1% vs XLE +1.6% \u2014 SPY trailed XLE by 2.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 20:31:45", "chain_hash": "0d1e2ed86c936ca06cae841fba7f0a0d52ab4acf73bfc2858108cacde1af0c58", "chain_tx": "XDPGewn1Xa2v8NRhkX4jSmnnS4bfdPzAHkHRFu3MUmR3DKLDyH9RD9k3cGQo8MsWRjM2stHLq16F1mmcKaw9jbs", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}