{"id": 7598, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED READ: QQQ vs SPY over 48h. LEAN: SPY slightly outperforms QQQ [DIRECTION: down relative to index] because BoC's 0.7% growth cut signals demand destruction that will hit high-beta growth harder than broad market; duration relief is real but priced-in post-Warsh, not an acute catalyst. [FALSIFY: QQQ outperforms SPY by >50bps over 48h]. Confidence: 0.48 (below 0.70 bar; do not treat as confident directional call).", "created_at": "2026-07-16 15:26:10", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 QQQ -0.9% vs SPY -0.9% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.0%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 16:22:55", "chain_hash": "36f59e7b90ca1754ca6e8fc2c80d78c4bbc5c87ffd5c1172ef57e29148a448fb", "chain_tx": "5CEiD89YmjprDJzUWZeENdKETpS5YdHfBsFaxAarAUx1wSeRuNm3jaR6vcSouWHRBemxa1U4mYKgfgKA4ZyFd1Jr", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}