{"id": 7592, "prediction_verbatim": "SMH (semiconductor ETF) outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SMH underperforms or trades flat-to-down relative to SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 13:26:02", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.22, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SMH -3.9% vs SPY -1.1% \u2014 SMH trailed SPY by 2.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 16:22:53", "chain_hash": "b1d47c181b838f14962443fbc2ea598f45e2a51f2259e17ab132d94ccdd2cd8b", "chain_tx": "4RNrPjVSjLdLa86Ph3Q7gqFj2zHPnc85rJSbybw2aZsZ3p88x4GyVmWyncRipsD37sA5vjVZUTskkGhfbC5xa81r", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}