{"id": 7579, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY outperforms XLE over the next 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE gains more than SPY over 48h, or XLE rallies >1.5% while SPY falls or stays flat]", "created_at": "2026-07-16 08:25:40", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.19, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SPY -1.5% vs XLE +2.1% \u2014 SPY trailed XLE by 3.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-20 11:14:03", "chain_hash": "3201d025ec267a7b7f43b7d4321ca14422f88de0c49d8ffefb0ee18871fc4ddf", "chain_tx": "4kDRR9poVRQNKmf4FtP5yn13BwpFdnupFQwLUDt9LzUWALdTBDKH8v6d2nTMYSm1dUXNNzxanpZhagj7xJncFTqz", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}