{"id": 7525, "prediction_verbatim": "MSTR outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up (relative)] [FALSIFY: MSTR underperforms SPY or matches SPY's return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 17:25:02", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.21, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSTR -3.7% vs SPY -0.7% \u2014 MSTR trailed SPY by 3.0%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17 17:28:14", "chain_hash": "daf12e36b082a8ab926caab11ad796a62ffb2494f0b0b070bcbe8bf3e4be23ca", "chain_tx": "4Ws8zBaUMYWuSihZWkvG4nwfcBnh6sG9sDeWvBn5gFNd4eLP9rgcq4SjMuND2rjy9u3ze8S6SF95V3ANsuhufeov", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}