{"id": 7524, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: XLE gains 2%+ while SPY gains less than 1%, or SPY declines while XLE gains]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 17:25:00", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.21, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.4% vs SPY -0.7% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 3.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17 17:28:12", "chain_hash": "ac8a74c862790bc59255d7b2be2456b2aef0902f313b414016e84669b00e2dd5", "chain_tx": "2vqiZ7wi5riVHNvzoHiRMAvjKJfLGa2maPFMs2jp2CyTyWohmcjQFk33kYyKVDqgTHLxpYTeMTymShqznWQvwWmZ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}