{"id": 7518, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 16:24:54", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.24, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.3% vs SPY +0.1% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 2.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 16:26:37", "chain_hash": "7afd2f113aa8c6691e3b9c53bc6b816a12e70b2c25fafd1621ccd194ecc26d21", "chain_tx": "4HuwUcrq6nkxyGKzadSKU8fdHesac5j1wH1bAWNdWrNK6FzDw7Cha72VGp99aSWkHJkEMckwv1pPfh7vyVYfDPZH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}