{"id": 7499, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE gains on SPY or matches SPY return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-15 10:24:31", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE +0.1% vs SPY -0.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-17 10:27:15", "chain_hash": "b7fe90924598cb5eacc235f0e2136d8c3f93cb46f36dec0456c00e06b36a45b1", "chain_tx": "2dznfcGMgpqdQoGHbrkfo5Wk5PXHzWNsustYbpY5wAwPEi4GRDNiSySaRx63NU9r2GW3sioQawSi92vtKpj8WU2E", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}