{"id": 7469, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 22:23:21", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE +0.1% vs SPY -0.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 23:26:54", "chain_hash": "95bb85d3c92e3992a491267f6e4b012d62cb99faa2743a3d6d1b2edb719fe9e5", "chain_tx": "66mQ1Nwue3vmGx8aFHHnUFS864ZiKznCzy7RTeLMcDAukea22JNKifv4oxCCubpshFbKbZXVhh3Vz5s9EEd77bCt", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}