{"id": 7466, "prediction_verbatim": "COIN underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: COIN outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 21:23:16", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 COIN -0.6% vs SPY -0.1% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.5%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 23:26:52", "chain_hash": "377e2b5ef45dd874d053bb2d91444761162e59af37e6e057359c881875bfcc29", "chain_tx": "SZZmsKRuKcUNHBV8scs4mS4HPKExDPoACBeFixyfUZn19qSe1rB5dP5cFkvWZKCojK7qmv5UpyTyNcJS448Kbyu", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}