{"id": 7454, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 18:22:55", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.28, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +0.5% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 0.7%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 20:26:43", "chain_hash": "669be6bdaf25f5be0dd7b48f31f47235045e5200c421022264240c3b321ee219", "chain_tx": "3kobaHhpDnDTqBSikdMw2KcJAvDZpHGFZv51WAeTxRVJVMhML9iRhrxFPLMqxzq5CSi2M1rEAPvK72K4zSz3vNi7", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}