{"id": 7436, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE closes higher than SPY over the 48h window, or oil rallies further on confirmed new kinetic event announcement]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 11:22:26", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.76, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 11:26:05", "chain_hash": "ecade3235a8961af07492c13da1538d49378e15198839142e0d5e42e296b4e12", "chain_tx": "CUsjaLiuAQ7RL83oJXMUrrMs4SbDeer1fcFdgqjMYevyvycKjsaXj1tdEvmD7VukNd9A7wqvdsu3G268VbzB1rG", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}