{"id": 7403, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: BULL \u2014 MSFT or GOOGL outperform SPY over 48h if rate repricing is gradual [DIRECTION: up (relative)]. BEAR \u2014 QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h if rate repricing is acute [DIRECTION: down (relative)]. Leaning BEAR on acute repricing signal. [FALSIFY: If MSFT and GOOGL track or outperform SPY AND QQQ outperforms SPY, both sides fail]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 00:22:01", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.9, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 MSFT +1.2% vs GOOGL +5.2% \u2014 MSFT trailed GOOGL by 4.0%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 00:25:43", "chain_hash": "b108cdd7966043bc91cff9213c0e50a233f8aa6304004b63a5ed3f267f5acc18", "chain_tx": "4ux5UA28jW9oLFKv5hE3HhQZz2diU6UXZdfCPs4pvcp8DNbWGUx7UNZzc53jMpSimFXFHYSR3pXRg2qYi2Q7NriH", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}