{"id": 7402, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-14 00:21:58", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.76, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE -0.4% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-16 00:25:42", "chain_hash": "ea3ca93231243c942ffc7532b58acb857ba31d02aeeb703899c6232a5f74af80", "chain_tx": "3d4kffNTgXKoBpGMH7bmvMSfiGMeCWsfieWVDhnRrkYcs3K7E8muoSzbCC3iFzsaDyCMf2vhxutPTqt6hqgbSSPa", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}