{"id": 7377, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h in risk-on regime persistence [DIRECTION: down (relative)] [FALSIFY: XLE closes higher than SPY on a relative basis, or SPY declines while XLE rises]", "created_at": "2026-07-13 17:07:37", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.75, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE -0.6% vs SPY +0.3% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 0.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-15 17:25:17", "chain_hash": "cc11928ed3918557c1f08d96c0f1e3ebc2ae3404ac4763ee74fe773c22a09d8e", "chain_tx": "66qnSy5tpHSsonH2jax2sUboDbtTBE11boFZcLhsSn23AXz1sqr13xhYCHMgBBCq8DbFwyCxWgM5ohirhAMQY8qk", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}