{"id": 7370, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h (energy sector supply-risk premium sustains against broad-market repricing). [DIRECTION: up]. [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY returns over 48h window].", "created_at": "2026-07-13 14:07:24", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 XLE -0.5% vs SPY -0.2% \u2014 dead heat (spread -0.3%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-15 16:25:07", "chain_hash": "01eaee411244615a202a1c6c1fca9cbce4a8b572619c6f5581446088778953e6", "chain_tx": "4EHYQWsMTXPwo7r5oSs7SfNGR1wCAXVv1BMQXFjEvJuFoEamsuFfZyni543PkVkck9z3k85VsEKT9NQCqgTx21eN", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}