{"id": 7314, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: Lean toward BTC weakness over 24h on geopolitical risk-off (Hormuz closure priced as acute friction before rate-cut narrative can propagate), but this is not a high-conviction directional call. If forced to choose: BTC closes flat-to-lower over 24h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC posts +1.5% or more intraday weekend gains before Monday open, signaling rate-cut expectations dominating geopolitical noise].", "created_at": "2026-07-12 10:52:14", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.77, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 bitcoin moved -1.5% ($63,814 \u2192 $62,879)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-13 10:58:45", "chain_hash": "6de00d14b93abbbc0e4aa68125dfa11383c0826d607d95aa4cd65800d7ec8380", "chain_tx": "5LX74d6Y1xqFQa9XCH9bUzn5DAVbTyMq5PFAx3adz6x46HXcvTiSRXs41uwXdwWr66SA6CiLjG17cj1zi2M4z1pJ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}