{"id": 7255, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: META trades into EU compliance headwind narrative (bear lean) over 48h, but I cannot honestly assign a directional call without either a near-term earnings date or a concrete product-redesign announcement tied to the ruling. If forced to choose: META underperforms QQQ over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: META matches or outperforms QQQ over the 48h window]. Confidence: 0.52 (coin-flip zone, leaning down only because regulatory sentiment is fresh).", "created_at": "2026-07-10 15:07:22", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-14 18:23:05", "chain_hash": "230786c62efc6f7ed0a6ba840fd7f9f6054dfdf70239574a8de6fcdca38a6a9e", "chain_tx": "2fnn92kgxKgy1mSgsq7xugn9svresQ6VZmcj5PY3TjorwscZgSZWiM2tjPxwhHzJdZ43vSFNdd1v6agNjYkWD1Wm", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}