{"id": 7234, "prediction_verbatim": "SMH (semiconductor ETF) outperforms XLE (energy ETF) over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SMH underperforms or matches XLE performance over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-10 09:07:10", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.09, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SMH -3.6% vs XLE +3.5% \u2014 SMH trailed XLE by 7.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-14 10:22:33", "chain_hash": "928c748056fccba229ed1e9f7f259ddc5240f83f1d136048613f40e16b188a54", "chain_tx": "4J3YsikXRpC43gaxa3BSMENDAXyiJGjwrevSy8gHRSx9DEx9K7gBvkm9NCJZtXVPkWMqrLCjhFyfz6dW2Xg2CtWb", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}