{"id": 7231, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY trades flat-to-down over 24h [DIRECTION: down] \u2014 but confidence is below threshold; this is a two-sided case with weak bear lean. [FALSIFY: SPY closes up 0.5%+ over 24h, overriding the consumer-weakness narrative].", "created_at": "2026-07-10 08:58:09", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 SPY moved +0.4% ($752 \u2192 $755)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-13 10:58:45", "chain_hash": "43b880d3cd3663976a70823e3873729518dc497bc7d03e95540f12313a599742", "chain_tx": "3kDYdU2WqbVChijTdJWGFptERbMox1S978wNbYoKpXXHnd4fAyauKhavaCNrBFYq1toKJB8WGJrqxx9jvhzpFQaC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}