{"id": 7219, "prediction_verbatim": "Two-sided case (neutral lean). BULL: XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over 48h]. BEAR: XLE underperforms SPY due to lingering tariff margin pressure on energy input costs.", "created_at": "2026-07-10 05:58:06", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.89, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 XLE +3.5% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 3.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-14 07:22:29", "chain_hash": "e8ad516d8fa6f40918f8710bf3fcce77736ff16255c91ef2d5c83ff8342bd084", "chain_tx": "253Ztgt3E5ezmqaZbwXrUwNgETPg4fqzQra9drUWtsau3c8vvqCwstUjuWzGLy2rVQwY4oT8h871wvYoGaogw8tb", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}