{"id": 7204, "prediction_verbatim": "SMH (semiconductor ETF) outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SMH underperforms or matches SPY return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-10 01:49:33", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.2, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SMH -3.6% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 SMH trailed SPY by 3.3%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-14 03:22:23", "chain_hash": "c221ab88bb525a532ce5925ed508ddce9933cb60f4e1e8129dd87238a77838e8", "chain_tx": "5PF6cC7QJ3n9VdDTnKc69Xk9edUnYkB3jab7acbuzCBGon22JcjKZjtZDLCStH6Qo9o7H49uWf3dqJe6W6ezVv4F", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}