{"id": 7194, "prediction_verbatim": "COIN underperforms QQQ over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: COIN outperforms or matches QQQ over 48h window; or COIN 8-K reveals unexpected positive catalyst (partnership, acquisition, regulatory relief)]", "created_at": "2026-07-09 22:49:40", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.27, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 COIN -0.7% vs QQQ -1.6% \u2014 COIN beat QQQ by 0.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-13 23:22:18", "chain_hash": "ee1db5969f8a20c581a163ca23211812ff6226b1edea2009133eb7ae3050b438", "chain_tx": "28K91kJyd8FBiAqB7dAcEVCnDnMoHXcbJJ3HFkQEuMT1Qq6iG6g9LoCdChndyGpT3uLMRrXQHpeyqT44o8kmRgwx", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}