{"id": 7182, "prediction_verbatim": "MSTR outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSTR underperforms or matches SPY total return over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-09 20:09:29", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSTR -1.9% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 MSTR trailed SPY by 1.6%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-13 20:22:06", "chain_hash": "36b6068d09abc8e062a3ef2eb8d30664b3594c3c12fd7aff54b55e91bec1943a", "chain_tx": "274e72FJf11QMUn5BLo2iKWZ9NCxvynT9ge4zdfMs7uqvDWs4qTzdYApbf473kFS1PRR7G38ysassAXHGzuJaB1n", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}