{"id": 7166, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down relative to SPY] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-09 14:08:49", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +2.1% vs SPY +0.6% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-13 15:07:45", "chain_hash": "bb35c56009667dc4844e5f481bf22f23d77d45e939c7640c8d71a8e495ea4ea2", "chain_tx": "p8zDoXujprNGfaY4CgXf9vbtkaTQZNmvggZyQzQzBAd3bfPjkJyJf6d21Fi4bXWYxzWnVm6JZbnkojh6QqPAffG", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}