{"id": 7143, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ outperforms IWM over 48h, driven by sustained risk-on sentiment from trade thaw, but with low conviction given macro-call track record headwinds. [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms QQQ over the 48h window, or QQQ closes flat-to-down while IWM gains]", "created_at": "2026-07-09 05:08:29", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.76, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 QQQ +2.0% vs IWM +0.9% \u2014 QQQ beat IWM by 1.1%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-13 05:55:46", "chain_hash": "53dae981d23097f1cb1571664306be8612541bcac617b373ca00edb72966d9a9", "chain_tx": "2uqdWcVFkhdY3nXAdWaKxLPDa8vu2TvLs81dtkuFC1ZEPuDG2JhztyNLy7KNic6X6EJ34dCKG556hQV9fmKZANnx", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}