{"id": 7137, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms SPY or matches SPY price action over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-09 03:08:22", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.23, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.9% vs SPY +1.3% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 2.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-13 05:55:43", "chain_hash": "30954e805d0bdd6a06f5dc2a103442356c8fd8a08dea2f9e888fcda3246ba272", "chain_tx": "418bDfvFF4htKsy2QHY4XGCXH5UaVNT6oa5sQNjSP2iPE1uo7K9ByeWnmouosKTnzaiVqBjXkLXjxT9mVQutNFsA", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}