{"id": 7124, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: XLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-08 22:07:43", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.23, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE -0.9% vs SPY +1.3% \u2014 XLE trailed SPY by 2.2% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call \u2014 was Correct 0.81]", "resolved_at": "2026-07-10 23:08:07", "chain_hash": "0226ec3e33be6ec572b36334f90f86bcd9b04b63a0c5c0d3f702513496bde612", "chain_tx": "4KkasjHwet2FVX9ehYfv1BjfauuWBkFiZfMN6QcCfFzu6SzKjLXWQPMspcWnrRzDc2PKsc9xHkoBjgh1YYQ8jJPD", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}