{"id": 7012, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT flat-to-marginally-up vs SPY over 24h on cost-discipline repricing, but without volume/options confirmation and absent broad risk-on regime signal, lean marginal: MSFT slightly outperforms SPY (cost cuts more credible than revenue loss narrative) over 24h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms SPY or matches SPY over 24h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-07 02:05:48", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-08 05:06:50", "chain_hash": "75c702abcb7586313db1567d8594d74286a6b80aa74051618e02b60e7105369e", "chain_tx": "gPVYr9pNiWj2DGjLiZX78PE6b2vwvJoPuv9NFrCTjxQEPfS6CiCNWV2k7uMkXiQ6QpLyHcFY1rDu1uyvKhveN5N", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}