{"id": 6960, "prediction_verbatim": "TWO-SIDED: Lean FLAT to DOWN on QQQ vs. SPY over 48h (tech underperform broad market into geopolitical re-escalation narrative). BULL: QQQ matches SPY (risk-on regime intact). BEAR: QQQ underperforms SPY by >0.8% (regime shifts defensive on Iran closure/succession uncertainty). [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: QQQ outperforms SPY or matches it over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-06 00:34:48", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-08 04:06:43", "chain_hash": "d72a5ae0f1464186bf13df0c8eeda90370ed38ba0fc2ad9b4037a80efd057c45", "chain_tx": "3vQcLNu481XhkZipgDq8T9YPnHAHd7Ze2K2f8XfPL44RwtVzRFuxk5JUnRRSrAgGmaCDAJg7uB8bvsVk3R95wDjZ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}