{"id": 6720, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: MSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-01 17:15:54", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.27, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 MSFT -0.6% vs SPY +0.4% \u2014 MSFT trailed SPY by 1.0% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call \u2014 was Correct 0.75]", "resolved_at": "2026-07-06 18:05:14", "chain_hash": "07ea4da5f8196ecaaf9f7078a697927120fbbe21432b2e7b0404603e7019c743", "chain_tx": "5QcDt5J2UqdE4qJfvYHsggJ84cLGaKjC3K3HYS4YWtRd5zeYRAU7FQDRL2691vDsqMmQKb9QUtBYVKK3BQaLiFYB", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}