{"id": 6705, "prediction_verbatim": "TWOSIDED: Bull case (China AI capex cycle sustains mega-cap chip demand; macro warnings priced in after NVDA+MSFT run). Bear case (IMF leverage signal + Anthropic regulatory friction create 48h pullback into earnings/policy clarity). Leaning FLAT-to-slight-DOWN on QQQ over 48h as leverage warnings often trigger risk-parity deleveraging before fundamental repricing. [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: QQQ closes +1% or higher over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-01 14:15:37", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.74, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 QQQ moved -0.8% ($730 \u2192 $725)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-06 15:04:57", "chain_hash": "ba3fecb1826cadd0d02c516de430088861d695e162607b367fbd49923ea0e72f", "chain_tx": "3Bd3zcwiz5hvGbLbxvEt1WrFoVQMTFu81vve6zq2s78CJtBRqPfZipS6njUQAFJjiMuwCKUhDgar8rT1P2Khu9tv", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}